نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 کارشناس ارشد اقتصاد دانشگاه ارومیه، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، ارومیه

2 دانشیار اقتصاد دانشگاه ارومیه، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، ارومیه

3 استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه ارومیه، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، ارومیه

چکیده

مقاله حاضر اثر اندازه دولت بر رشد اقتصادی را در کشورهای منتخب منطقه منا با به­کار گیری رهیافت داده ­های تابلویی غیرخطی در طول دوره زمانی 1990-2011 بررسی می­کند. نتایج حاصل از تخمین مدل رگرسیونی انتقال ملایم تابلویی نشان می­دهد که شدت اثر مثبت نیروی کار بر رشد اقتصادی در سطوح بسیار بالای اندازه دولت افزایش یافته است و برخلاف اثر مثبت سرمایه­ گذاری بر رشد اقتصادی در سطوح پایین اندازه دولت، اثر آن منفی تخمین زده شده است. از سوی دیگر، در سطوح بالای اندازه دولت، درآمدهای صادراتی در کشورهای تحت بررسی اثر مثبتی روی رشد اقتصادی ندارند. اصلی­ ترین نتیجه مطالعه حاضر بیان می­کند که اثرات تخریبی مخارج مصرفی دولت با تأکید بر اثر منفی این مخارج بر رشد اقتصادی تأیید می­ گردد.

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