Spatial Analysis of the Effect of Gas Consumption on Electricity Consumption: A Case Study of the Provinces of Iran

Articles in Press

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Department of Economics, lorestan Branch, lorestan University, lorestan, Iran.

2 Department of Economics, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

3 Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, Iran.

10.22099/ijes.2026.56095.2118

Abstract

This study employs spatial econometric methods to examine the impact of gas consumption on electricity consumption across Iranian provinces from 2006 to 2019. Key variables analyzed include gas consumption, gross domestic product, urban population, average temperature, and average electricity prices. The results indicate that provincial income, population, total gas consumption, and degree of industrialization positively influence electricity consumption, with industrialized provinces exhibiting higher electricity demand. Furthermore, total gas consumption significantly increases electricity consumption, reflecting the essential role of gas in electricity generation. The positive and significant spatial lag coefficient of electricity consumption highlights the importance of spatial dependence, suggesting that increases in electricity consumption in one province lead to corresponding increases in neighboring provinces. Overall, the findings confirm the significant effect of gas consumption on electricity demand while emphasizing spatial spillover effects among provinces.

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Iranian Journal of Economic Studies

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 09 June 2026

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History

  • Receive Date: 07 May 2026
  • Revise Date: 09 June 2026
  • Accept Date: 09 June 2026

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