Does Economic Development Reshape Financial Structure? Evidence from BRICS Economies

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Department of Economics, Damghan University, Damghan, Iran.

Abstract

This study examines whether economic development reshapes financial structure in line with the predictions of New Structural Financial Economics (NSFE). The theory argues that financial systems evolve endogenously alongside changes in industrial structure and financing needs, gradually shifting from bank-based to more market-oriented arrangements as economies develop. Using a panel of BRICS economies over the period 1998–2024, this paper analyzes how economic development and financial structure are related over the long run. A composite financial structure index is constructed through Principal Component Analysis based on financial structure size and activity indicators. Before estimation, cross-sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, panel unit roots, and panel cointegration are systematically examined to ensure the validity of the empirical analysis. The Group-Mean Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (GM-FMOLS) estimator is applied to estimate the long-run coefficients, while the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimator serves as a robustness check. The empirical results reveal a positive and statistically significant effect of real GDP per capita on financial structure across alternative model specifications. The findings provide robust empirical support for the New Structural Economics framework and suggest that financial systems evolve in line with structural transformation and the dynamic financing needs of the real economy, while institutional quality variables and pandemic conditions are controlled throughout the analysis consistently.   

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 26 July 2026
  • Receive Date: 27 June 2026
  • Revise Date: 25 July 2026
  • Accept Date: 26 July 2026